The November 2026 US midterm elections will determine control of the House of Representatives and Senate.
Where it stands
Early in-person voting is underway, and Democrats are contesting Senate seats in reliably Republican states while holding the clearer path to House control.
Democratic generic-ballot margin
9.60percentage points
6 readings
Democratic generic-ballot margin among independents
16percentage points
–Pulse
No coverage in this range.
Pulse measures how actively a story is being covered right now.
Every article counts as a vote whose weight fades over time — an article published today counts as 1.0, one from two days ago counts 0.5, four days ago 0.25, and so on (a 2-day half-life). Pulse is the sum of those weights, so fresh coverage lifts it and old bursts fade away smoothly.
Dated by when the figure applies, not when it was reported. Larger dots are more sources reporting the same number.
Following:
October 2026
Wed, Oct 7
Oct 7Republicans feared $1 billion might not avert midterm losses
Mon, Oct 5
Oct 5Offshore oddsmakers favored Democrats to win both congressional chambers
Sun, Oct 4
Oct 4Bill Maher predicted a historic Republican midterm defeat
Sat, Oct 3
Oct 3Democrats gained ground in reliably Republican Senate battlegrounds
Fri, Oct 2
Oct 2House Democrats expanded spending and targets in Republican districts
Thu, Oct 1
Oct 1Early voting data showed signs of a Democratic advantage
September 2026
Thu, Sep 24
Sep 24New poll put Democrats 11 points ahead for Congress
Wed, Sep 23
Sep 23Republican groups poured campaign cash into reliably Republican states