Brazil's 2026 presidential election pits President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's fourth-term bid against Flavio Bolsonaro, son of former president Jair Bolsonaro.
Where it stands
Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro face an October 25 presidential runoff after neither secured a first-round majority.
Lula runoff polling lead over Flavio Bolsonaro
-6percentage points
4 readings
Sub-stories
–Pulse
No coverage in this range.
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Every article counts as a vote whose weight fades over time — an article published today counts as 1.0, one from two days ago counts 0.5, four days ago 0.25, and so on (a 2-day half-life). Pulse is the sum of those weights, so fresh coverage lifts it and old bursts fade away smoothly.
Dated by when the figure applies, not when it was reported. Larger dots are more sources reporting the same number.
Following:
showing all 70 events
October 2026
2 days ago
Oct 9Brazil's government announced fuel tax cuts and extended subsidies
3 days ago
Oct 8Runoff poll put Flavio Bolsonaro six points ahead of Lula
Oct 8Brazil's supreme court issued an arrest warrant for Flavio Bolsonaro's brother
Wed, Oct 7
Oct 7Lula urged supporters onto the streets for the runoff
Oct 7Students marched in Rio against a Flavio Bolsonaro presidency
Mon, Oct 5
Oct 5Argentina's president hailed Flavio Bolsonaro's first-round lead over Lula
Oct 5Lula sought a campaign overhaul ahead of the presidential runoff
Oct 5Brazilian stocks and currency rallied in post-election trading
Sun, Oct 4
Oct 4 Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro advanced to a presidential runoff
Oct 4 Flavio Bolsonaro took an early lead in vote counting
Oct 4 Polls closed in Brazil's first round of presidential voting
Oct 4Bolsonaro's party won the most seats in both congressional chambers
Oct 4Brazilians formed long lines to cast presidential ballots
Oct 4Brazilians began voting in the presidential election's first round
Oct 4Brazilians reached election day with Lula and Bolsonaro closely matched
Sat, Oct 3
Oct 3Poll showed Lula's first-round lead over Flavio Bolsonaro narrowed
Oct 3Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro wrapped up their presidential campaigns
Oct 3Brazil's election posed a test for Trump's Latin America strategy
Fri, Oct 2
Oct 2Amazon rainforest policies were at stake in presidential election
Oct 2Brazil's final presidential debate was cancelled
Oct 2US suspended consular services in Brazil and Australia closed its embassy
Oct 2Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro traded scandals in final campaign push
Thu, Oct 1
Oct 1Brazil's attorney general sought probe into alleged US election interference
Oct 1Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro skipped Brazil's final presidential debate
September 2026
Tue, Sep 29
Sep 29Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro clashed over Brazil’s patron saint
Sep 29Runoff poll put Flavio Bolsonaro 0.1 point ahead but statistically tied
Mon, Sep 28
Sep 28Brazilians were set to choose Lula or Flavio Bolsonaro
Sep 28Polls showed Lula's first-round lead widened over Flavio Bolsonaro
Sun, Sep 27
Sep 27Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro entered the final campaign week
Thu, Sep 24
Sep 24Datafolha poll showed Lula leading Flavio Bolsonaro by two points
Wed, Sep 23
Sep 23AtlasIntel poll gave Lula narrow runoff lead within error margin
Tue, Sep 22
Sep 22Lula warned against foreign election interference at UN
Mon, Sep 21
Sep 21Polls gave Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro opposing leads within error margins
Sep 21Poll showed Lula one point ahead but statistically tied
Thu, Sep 17
Sep 17Polls showed Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro statistically tied
Sep 17Lula signed decree raising welfare benefits 15 percent
Wed, Sep 16
Sep 16Lula said he would warn Trump against election meddling
Tue, Sep 15
Sep 15Brazil's Supreme Court postponed its decision on investigating a justice